Run for bread! Run for milk! Tropical Storm Igor has formed off the coast of Africa. The National Hurricane Center in sunny Miami (motto: We do the Dvorak for fun! Weather nerds will get this one.) has issued the first advisory on a questionable blob O’cloud that is showing increasing convection this morning. Igor (insert “Young Frankenstein” hump joke here) is actually two areas of low pressure that  merging south of the Cape Verde Islands.  At this early stage it is very hard to pin down exactly where the center of circulation is; however, we have some time to figure this out as Igor is looming 3923 miles southeast of Charleston. Igor has estimated winds of 35 knots and is trudging west at 7 knots. “Walk this way…” .  Groan.

40-50 knot upper shear to the south of Igor should keep intensification throttled  for the next 48 hours. After that, Igor will intensify in a hurricane-happy environment and become a hurricane this weekend. Models are in decent agreement with the track and the intensification and  bring Igor to the central Atlantic (45W) on Monday (2430 miles from the Battery). The extended range forecast models are hinting at Igor taking a turn to the north in the central Atlantic. Fish storm? Perhaps. We’ll have plenty of time to get the tape and plywood on the windows.

The initial National Hurricane Center (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov ) forecast track for TS Igor: